Thursday, September 27, 2012

Results for week of September 23, 2012

Hello my fellow traders,
Sorry for the delay here, body decided that the 2nd Dan Testing was pretty strenuous and has let me know about it this week.  It seems that I kinda sorta fractured my big toe (probably during sparring) and hyperextended my knee.  Along with a few other bumps and bruises that are par for the course.  But as I said last week – I would not trade a minute of it.  The testing was a culmination of a two year journey or improving my fitness, and endurance as well as learning more of the martial and spiritual aspects of Tang Soo Do.  I find out this Friday if I passed my Dan Test.  Hopefully I did.
Youngest cherub had a couple of volleyball games this past week.  At this age when they are just learning and having fun the kids are just a joy to watch.  The coach is a young girl just starting in her career as a teacher and has lots of energy and relates very well to the girls.  The team is about even in wins and losses, but they are learning the game and having a good time doing it.  That is what you want as a father for their daughter.
Eldest daughter passed her egg test.  She had to cook an egg 6 different ways for her instructors at tech school.  She has about three weeks of tech school left before heading off to her initial duty station.  I am learning a new role as a parent of a kid who is out on their own in the world.  I am so proud of her, and her accomplishments, my goal was to raise a free thinking strong young woman and it looks like that what I have.
Another great week for the weekly options trader in me!  We had another successful week in the markets.
Ok now on to the trades:
ANALYSIS
Here is last week’s trade #1:
AAPL     685     Put   $ 1.06
AAPL     680     Put   $(0.69)    This gave an Net Credit of $0.37 for a 7.40% ROI
This was the first week of IPhone 5  sales and there were lines, but not like before.  More and more people are now pre-ordering.  The backlog is out to mid-October for us slogs that didn’t pre-order.  There are some issues, mapping being a big one.  Apple got rid of Google Maps for the mapping App and came out with one of their own.  It has a neat 3-D part to it, but sometimes the 3-D doesn’t work well.  Further some places don’t quite show up yet or only partially show due to incomplete data in the database for the App.  Apple says that every day more mapping data is being put into the App and over the next few months the App will catch up to where those of us used to Google Maps would like it to be. 
1.      We put this trade on Tuesday again after watching the price action continue to move upward while the premiums remained greatly decreased on the put side.  This tells us that the market expects the stock to keep going up.  Using our contrary bent we look to the put side for our trade.   
2.      The price was above the 20 day and 50 day SMA when I made the trade.  On Thursday the price crossed the 20 Day SMA, but was still above the 50 Day SMA.  When we made the trade on Tuesday with the price above both the 20 and 50 Day SMA this is an indicator for going to the put side for our spread. 
3.      Toward the end of the week when the price looked like it was starting to slip put the idea in our head for the week ending Sept. 28 that we might want to look at the call side for our spread.
4.      We went out slightly more than 1 Std Dev from the strike price and used our probability to get a 90.1% success probability.
5.      The IV > HV indicator also showed us that this was a good stock to put a spread on as IV>HV.  But the gap is narrowing.  So in the near future we may have to change the horse we are riding.    
Trade #2:
GLD     168     Put     $ 0.36
GLD     167    Put     $(0.20)     This gave a $0.16 Net Credit for a 16.0% ROI
GLD is continuing with the large price movements.  GLD had a range of almost $4 last week.  Usually GLD moves normally in a $2-$3 range.  This high movement is especially weird since VIX went down for the week.   The IV > HV indicator showed this was a great trade as the separation between the two was almost 24%.    
1.       The probability calculator gave this trade a 92.4% success probability.
2.      At this trade we were just a little more than 1.5 Std Dev away from the underlying strike price.
3.      Our new indicator the IV> HV was in our favor.
4.      The trade was better than our minimum 3%.
5.      The overall trend was up so we go put side.
PAPER TRADE
MS     13.00     Call     April 2013   Qty=10     Cost=$4,200     Mkt Value $5,750  Gain=$1,600
We closed this trade out when we saw the gain hit $1,800.  We ended up getting a gain of $1,600.  Not bad for a two week investment.  The beginning down trend that looks like it is coming in the market could give us another opportunity like this soon.  I hope so.  That $1,600 profit is a 38% gain.  Gotta love it!

COVERED CALLS
We have been doing covered calls on Vivus and McDonald’s.  We are continuing with these two stocks in our covered call adventure.
Symbol           Company       Stock     Option          Option            Initial              Annualized

VVUS             Vivus               21.01      Oct  23         .32                   2,676.00          18.3%
MCD               McDonalds     93.66      Oct  100       .10                   9,174.00            1.3%

VVUS closed out ok for us.  The stock has dropped a bit since we started this ride, and so we are looking at part of the volatility of a biopharma stock.  We will keep into this stock as we get very good option premium for it.  But we are looking for a suitable replacement.  WE need to be careful because with biopharma there can be some big swings.  That is why we are still in the stock,  we know there will be big swings so when we hit he 15% stop loss line we start looking, but don’t sell until we get a good replacement.    
MCD continued the recent up trend so we bought the call back for .$0.07.  We bought it back because I want to keep this stock.  The long term prospects are great.  Plus there is a dividend coming up so I want to capture it.  The option premium has narrowed significantly so I am also looking for a stock to take MCD’s place as a covered call stock, but will move MCD into the Dividend Stock Portfolio when a good replacement is found.
Remember, unless we hit a 15% stop loss point we will continue to use these covered call stocks to generate income and not worry about the day to day or month to month price fluctuations.  We will concentrate on getting the most premium we can safely from these stocks.





DIVIDEND STOCKS
Here is our Dividend Stock Portfolio:

Ticker Name                                                  Buy         Current      Date                Div
                                                                        Price           Price                               Yield  
 KO     Coke                                                         38.17      38.58       08/27/2012          2.71%
AGD   Alpine Global Dynamic Fund                    5.76        5.86       08/27/2012        12.18%
AOD   Alpine Total Dynamic Fund                      4.37        4.40       08/27/2012        14.80%
MO      Altria                                                        34.26      34.17       08/27/2012          5.17%
Current Prices as of 09/14/2012 Closing Price
Each of these stocks carry a 15% stop on them, and we are nowhere near that on any of these stocks.  If 100 shares in each stock is held that will generate $416 in dividend revenue assuming no reinvestment.  This gives a 5.10% return.  This is a pretty good return in this market and it is very safe.  Two Blue Chips and two funds that are diversified in sectors and globally.  If reinvestment is used that number goes even higher.
I have developed a watchlist for this Portfolio.  These are stocks that basically meet the criteria we have: (1) a moat business model, (2) dividend of at least 3%, (3) solid fundamental analysis numbers.  Here is our watchlist:
                                                                       
Ticker Name                          Recent Price       Date                        Div Yield        Target Price
PG       Proctor and Gamble         69.45          09/21/2012           3.25%         62.50
JNJ      Johnson & Johnson          69.08          09/21/2012           3.56%         65.00  
INTC   Intel                                  23.14          09/21/2012           3.85%         22.00

INTC – We will probably hit the buy price this week .  This is great news for the dividend investor.  INTC is transitioning to the tablet market but is still hands down the biggest chip maker in the world.  They are generating gobs of cash.  INTC pre-announced earnings that are lower than current estimates.  But they are still hugely profitable.  The announcement also reiterated INTC’s intent to continue the share buyback and dividend payment.  Music to our ears!!  Now I will just try to pick up this World Beater on sale.
JNJ – I am still looking to get into this stock at $66.00 or lower.  The stock is on a slight uptrend again after a slight pull back.  There is a recent run from $62 to $68 and so I would like to split the difference and get in at $66
PG – I might have to wait on this one a bit.  It is continuing the uptrend and is closing in on a 52 week high.  The slight pullback I saw was more of a quick consolidation. So now I just sit back and wait patiently for this stock to come back to Earth.  The last thing I want to do is buy at the high and wait for another high to come along.  I will be patient as the chart shows that $62 is long term support for this stock.  Also at this level that would raise our Dividend Yield to 3.75% AND give us lots of upside potential.

QUESTIONS
None this week L
 
I encourage any and all comments so please keep them coming.  Remember I cannot give you specific advice ( Don’t ask me if you should buy 33 shares of XYZ) but can offer general information (whether XZY is a good company fundamentally or if my interpretation of the charts look good or bad)
DISCLAIMER:  Hashley Capital Management, LLC; as well as I are not giving any trading advice.  All data is historical in nature and is intended for use as an educational tool.  Trading in stocks and/or options is risky and can result in loss of capital. Stocks as well carry inherent risks and should be well researched before any buy decision is made.   There is no attempt to sell any brokerage services or act as a broker or dealer by Hashley Capital Management, LLC.  Any forward looking comments on this blog are not attempts to solicit business for Hashley Capital Management, LLC and are the opinion of Hashley Capital Management only.  If you choose to follow the same path and invest in the strategies and trades used by Hashley Capital Management, LLC after doing your own due diligence, that is your decision and yours alone. 
Reach me @:
Twitter: @awagel01
Stocktwits:  awagel01
Or leave a comment on the blog


TTFN
Ash

Sunday, September 16, 2012

Results of Week Ending September 14, 2012

Hey all! 
This week was a blur of activity.  Youngest daughter had 4 volleyball games this week.  She did well, but got a nice little bruise on her forefinger from serving.  The team did ok.  They split the week going 2-2.  So far they are running at about .500 this year.  But only a couple of teams have been way better than them.
I completed my 2nd Dan testing this weekend.  It was an interesting way to spend my birthday.  I was a stressful, hard, sometimes painful way to spend my birthday, but I loved every minute of it!  I only have a few bruises and scrapes.  My knees are sore but the rest I did today is taking care of that.  I will find out if I passed in about a week.
Eldest daughter got 96% on her Block 2 test in tech school.  I am so proud of her!  She is just killing it!  She has about a month to go before shipping off to her permanent duty station
Another great week for the weekly options trader in me!  We had another successful week in the markets.
Ok now on to the trades:
ANALYSIS
Here is last week’s trade #1:
AAPL     645     Put   $ 1.05
AAPL     640     Put   $(0.66)    This gave an Net Credit of $0.39 for a 7.80% ROI
The wait for the new IPhone is now over.  The release date has been set and the product revealed.  AAPL just shot up last week hitting multi year highs for the stock based on this new info.  As the stock went up and up we immediately went to the put side and were very well rewarded. 
1.      We put this trade on Tuesday after watching the price action continue to move upward while the premiums remained almost unchanged on the put side.   
2.      The price stayed above the 20 day and 50 day SMA all week, and in fact is outpacing the upward slope of both lines.  This was our first clue to use the Put side.
3.      We went out slightly more than 2 Std Dev from the strike price and used our probability to get a 94.0% success probability.
4.      The trend was still going up quite rapidly so any thought of turning this into a Condor Type trade was quickly quashed.
5.      Last week I talked about a new indicator to help identify good trades.  The IV > HV indicator.  Most online brokers have this information, but sometimes you have to dig a little more to find it.  Trademonster is my primary broker and on the quote page this graph is conveniently right below the price chart.  When Implied volatility is greater than historical volatility this shows good option premium, the bigger the gap between Implied Volatility (IV) and Historical Volatility (HV) usually the better the option premium.  IV > HV = good trade indicator.  This indicator was used this week and it worked well. 
Trade #2:
GLD     163     Put     $ 0.29
GLD     161    Put     $(0.16)     This gave a $0.13 Net Credit for a 6.50% ROI
GLD is a trade I like to do because there is little price movement normally.  This week was not that normal case, but the price action was almost continually upward.  Again the IV > HV indicator showed this was a great trade as the separation between the two was almost 20%.  The $4 upward price movement this week was another week of high price movement, usually a move of $1 of a high move in this ETF.  Over the past month this ETF has gone from around $155 to $172. 
GLD has been channeling recently between 154-173 for most of 2012 and looks to be ready to break out to the high side as tensions mount over the financial cliff and the US election and the Europeans not getting their act together.
1.       The probability calculator gave this trade a 93.6% success probability.
2.      At this trade we were just a little more than 1.5 Std Dev away from the underlying strike price.
3.      Our new indicator the IV> HV was in our favor.
4.      The trade was better than our minimum 3%.
5.      The overall trend was up so we go put side.
PAPER TRADE
MS     13.00     Call     April 2013   Qty=10     Cost=$4,200     Mkt Value $5,450  Gain=$1,300
As I was searching the weekly list for potential trades I came across this stock.  Morgan Stanley (MS) looks very good from a technical standpoint.  The weekly options just didn’t have the premium to make this a viable trade.  But with a good setup like the chart shows this had potential for a profitable trade if we went out a little further.  Let us walk through this trade:
1.       The chart is showing a definite up trend bouncing off support of $13. 
2.      At the $17.08 closing price Friday we are closing in on the 52 week high of $21.19
3.      IV > HV
4.      The options picked were about 7 months out, this gives us plenty of time to let our anticipated up move while lessening the effects of time decay.
5.      A deep in the money call was bought because:
a.      It is already in the money so the option premium will continue to rise as underlying stock price rises    
b.      The amount of the premium will be greater than an out of the money call that moves into the money
6.      The original target for the underlying price was $17.50.  The charts show that this price move could easily go to $18.50 since the stock closed at $18.24 Friday.  We have already passed our anticipate $800 profit and still have many months to let this one ride.  Our new profit stop is at $1,500.
7.      So we are letting this one ride a little further.  I am prepared to let this ride up to $20 dollars.  This is my hard stop, and I will exit the trade and take the profits at that point at the latest.  We are at 31% profit right now and are just looking for a little extra.

COVERED CALLS
We have been doing covered calls on Vivus and McDonald’s.  We are continuing with these two stocks in our covered call adventure.
Symbol           Company       Stock     Option          Option            Initial              Annualized

VVUS             Vivus               22.08      Sept 25         .27                   2,676.00          12.1%
MCD               McDonalds     91.70      Sept 92.5      .16                   9,174.00          2.09%

VVUS closing price Friday came in at $22.08 and looks to be in a holding pattern.  I thought were starting an uptrend last week, but that just didn’t materialize.  Now it looks like our shares will be safe from the call and we can start to look for the next months covered call to write.  We are a week away from the monthly expiration and feel very comfortable with our $27 in premium per covered call.  Right now the $24 or $25 strike looks like appealing choices. 
MCD is continuing the uptrend in price after bottoming out in the high $80s.  We have a possibility of getting called away, but if we do we will have a good short term profit on our hands.  We have 3 months of option premium and our current strike is above our purchase price.   If it gets past the $92.5 price level and we get called away this will have been a VERY successful trade.  We will have had three months of call premium, plus we will get $70 in dividend for the past quarter since we held the stock past the Ex-Dividend day of August 30.  Plus we will make $76 if we are called away.    
Remember, unless we hit a 15% stop loss point we will continue to use these covered call stocks to generate income and not worry about the day to day or month to month price fluctuations.  We will concentrate on getting the most premium we can safely from these stocks.

DIVIDEND STOCKS
Here is our Dividend Stock Portfolio:

Ticker Name                                                  Buy         Current      Date                Div
                                                                        Price           Price                               Yield  
 KO     Coke                                                         38.17      38.12       08/27/2012         2.65%
AGD   Alpine Global Dynamic Fund                    5.76        5.93       08/27/2012        12.52%
AOD   Alpine Total Dynamic Fund                      4.37        4.55       08/27/2012        15.10%
MO      Altria                                                        34.26      32.94       08/27/2012          5.16%
Current Prices as of 09/14/2012 Closing Price
Each of these stocks carry a 15% stop on them, and we are nowhere near that on any of these stocks.  If 100 shares in each stock is held that will generate $416 in dividend revenue assuming no reinvestment.  This gives a 5.10% return.  This is a pretty good return in this market and it is very safe.  Two Blue Chips and two funds that are diversified in sectors and globally.  If reinvestment is used that number goes even higher.
I have developed a watchlist for this Portfolio.  These are stocks that basically meet the criteria we have: (1) a moat business model, (2) dividend of at least 3%, (3) solid fundamental analysis numbers.  Here is our watchlist:
                                                                       
Ticker Name                          Recent Price       Date                        Div Yield        Target Price
PG       Proctor and Gamble         69.16          09/14/2012           3.25%         62.50
JNJ      Johnson & Johnson          68.47          09/14/2012           3.56%         65.00  
INTC   Intel                                  23.37          09/14/2012           3.85%         22.00

INTC – The slow downhill slide of this stock is still going, getting closer to my buy price.  The lowered guidance means that Q4 will probably get a boost as long as INTC hits the new numbers.  They are the pre-eminent company in their sector and I do feel confident that they will make the transition to tablets as everybody is saying that is where the PC market is going.  Now I will just try to pick up this World Beater on sale.
JNJ – I am still looking to get into this stock at $66.00 or lower.  The stock is on a slight uptrend again after a slight pull back.  There is a recent run from $62 to $68 and so I would like to split the difference and get in at $66
PG – I might have to wait on this one a bit.  It is continuing the uptrend and is closing in on a 52 week high.  The slight pullback I saw was more of a quick consolidation. So now I just sit back and wait patiently for this stock to come back to Earth.  The last thing I want to do is buy at the high and wait for another high to come along.  I will be patient as the chart shows that $62 is long term support for this stock.  Also at this level that would raise our Dividend Yield to 3.75% AND give us lots of upside potential.

QUESTIONS
Why have you started dividend stocks and covered calls? I thought you only did weekly option spreads.
Good question, and I will answer it in two parts, but I will say generally that there were many repeated requests for my opinions on these strategies:
1.       Covered Calls. The covered call is not all that different from the spreads we normally do.  Many options education people will start with covered calls as the first options trade they discuss.  I put it in here because the two stocks we have going on right now offer a very good return for relatively little risk.  Also with MCD we have the added income stream of dividends.  VVUS gives us some exposure to the pharma arena, but rewards us for that added risk with very good options premiums.
2.      Dividend Stocks.  Dividend stocks offer two income stream potentials.  The first is the upside potential in the stock price.  This one is a more ethereal on as it is up to the whims of the market.  The second is the dividend.  This is a reliable income stream since the stocks and funds I choose are of high quality.
By having these three strategies in effect we now have multiple income streams working for us.  The best part of it is two of the three income streams require us to do nothing but occasional monitoring after the initial purchase.  We still need to watch the stocks to make sure that there isn’t any big news item or fundamental shift in the companies.

What does Delta mean?  I see this a lot in the readings and don’t understand it.
Delta measures the change in an options value with respect to the underlying price.  For example if a stock costs $30 and moves to $33, the Delta for the stock would be .10.  Long call options will have a Delta from 0 to +1.0 and long puts will have Delta from 0 to -1.0.  Short positions will reverse the sign on Delta. 
Delta is probably the most used of the Greeks because it tells the anticipated move in an option price for every $1 move of underlying stock price.
You might have read the term delta neutral trades in your reading.  What this means is that a trader will try to get an overall Delta of 0 for the trades they put on.  For example if I buy a call with a Delta of .2 I will need to buy a put with a Delta of -.2 to make the trade Delta neutral. 
I really haven’t talked a lot on Delta neutral trades because the trade I do the most is never a Delta neutral trade.  In order to make my trades Delta neutral I would have to do both call and put credit spreads each week, essentially doing condor type trades.  That is not how my system works.
If I were doing a directional strategy I would consider doing Delta neutral trades to help hedge my position. 
I am preparing more questions and will have them answered soon so if yours wasn’t tonight it will be coming soon. 
I encourage any and all comments so please keep them coming.  Remember I cannot give you specific advice ( Don’t ask me if you should buy 33 shares of XYZ) but can offer general information (whether XZY is a good company fundamentally or if my interpretation of the charts look good or bad)
DISCLAIMER:  Hashley Capital Management, LLC; as well as I are not giving any trading advice.  All data is historical in nature and is intended for use as an educational tool.  Trading in stocks and/or options is risky and can result in loss of capital. Stocks as well carry inherent risks and should be well researched before any buy decision is made.   There is no attempt to sell any brokerage services or act as a broker or dealer by Hashley Capital Management, LLC.  Any forward looking comments on this blog are not attempts to solicit business for Hashley Capital Management, LLC and are the opinion of Hashley Capital Management only.  If you choose to follow the same path and invest in the strategies and trades used by Hashley Capital Management, LLC after doing your own due diligence, that is your decision and yours alone. 

Reach me @:
Twitter: @awagel01
Stocktwits:  awagel01
Or leave a comment on the blog

TTFN
Ash


Sunday, September 9, 2012

Results for Week Ending September 8, 2012

Hey all!  This was a good week.  Last week of MAX10 class, and I am already missing it.  We had an end of session celebration where we got our before and after pictures (no I am not posting them here – I wouldn’t do that to you fine folks!) and there is a definite improvement in my look.  I only lost about 5 pounds, but I have more endurance and am stronger than I have been in a long time.  I do plan on signing up for the next session.  YTD I have lost almost 25 pounds and am down 4 pants sizes.
Also found out for sure I am testing for my 2nd Dan in a couple of weeks.  The forms I pretty much have down, but some of the terminology is still giving me fits.  I am kinda nervous about this test.  There is a great deal of objective parts to it, but still there is a large degree of subjectivity to it.
No volleyball last week, but we get hit up with a bunch of games next week.  Lots of travel, but looking forward to it. 
Eldest daughter busted out a 98% on her first test @ Tech School, so she is continuing her streak of success.
Well, we had another week of successful trading.  We put on two trades this week on in Apple (AAPL) and the other in the gold ETF GLD. 
Ok now on to the trades:
ANALYSIS
Here is last week’s trade #1:

Apple (AAPL) 1 Month Price Chart with trade

AAPL     650     Put   $ 0.99
AAPL     645     Put   $(0.62)    This gave an Net Credit of $0.37 for a 7.40% ROI
The wait for the new Iphone will soon be over.  September 12 is now the date when the official release date will be announced as well as an outline of the new features of the new phone.  This helped push the stock higher through the week.  Also toward the end of the week when Apple announced that they are in the beginning stages of starting a service to rival Pandora (P). 
 everything to get the $1,000 typical spread valuation.
1.      We put this trade on Tuesday after watching the price action continue to move upward while the premiums remained almost unchanged on the put side.   
2.      The price stayed above the 20 day and 50 day SMA all week, and in fact is outpacing the upward slope of both lines.  This was our first clue to use the Put side.
3.      We went out slightly more than 2 Std Dev from the strike price and used our probability to get a 93.1% success probability.
4.      The trend went more upward this week than last, so we didn’t entertain the thought of stretching this into a Condor Type trade like we thought about last week.
5.      This week I started using a new indicator to help identify good trades.  My primary online broker is Trademonster, and as part of their trading screen they have a graph of implied and historical volatility.  When Implied volatility is greater than historical volatility this shows good option premium, the bigger the gap between Implied Volatility (IV) and Historical Volatility (HV) usually the better the option premium.  IV > HV = good trade indicator.  We used this as part of our thought process to reinforce our decision to go with a put option.
Trade #2:
GLD 1 Week Price Chart with Trade

GLD     161     Put     $ 0.22
GLD     160     Put     $(0.14)    This gave a $0.07 Net Credit for a 7.00% ROI
GLD is a trade I like to do because there is little price movement normally.  The $7 upward price movement this week was very extraordinary.  Europe had a lot to do with that as well as increased tension in the US as our election campaign keeps sinking to new lows and a mixed employment report.
GLD has been channeling recently between 154-173 for most of 2012 with a recent move out of that channel in the last couple of weeks.  The channeling and now upward trend in price was the first clue to go put side for the trade.
1.       The probability calculator gave this trade a 90.1% success probability.
2.      At this trade we were just a little more than 1.5 Std Dev away from the underlying strike price.
3.      Our new indicator the IV> HV was in our favor.
4.      The trade was better than our minimum 3%.
5.      The overall trend was up so we go put side.
PAPER TRADE
MS 6 Month Price Chart

MS     13.00     Call     April 2013   Qty=10     Cost=$4,200     Mkt Value=$4,800  Gain=$600
As I was searching the weekly list for potential trades I came across this stock.  Morgan Stanley (MS) looks very good from a technical standpoint.  The weekly options just didn’t have the premium to make this a viable trade.  But with a good setup like the chart shows this had potential for a profitable trade if we went out a little further.  Let us walk through this trade:
1.       The chart is showing a definite up trend bouncing off support of $13. 
2.      At the $17.08 closing price Friday we are closing in on the 52 week high of $21.19
3.      IV > HV
4.      The options picked were about 7 months out, this gives us plenty of time to let our anticipated up move while lessening the effects of time decay.
5.      A deep in the money call was bought because:
a.      It is already in the money so the option premium will continue to rise as underlying stock price rises    
b.      The amount of the premium will be greater than an out of the money call that moves into the money
6.      The target for the underlying price is $17.50.  This approximately equals the underlying price plus the option price.  AT the $17.50 price level we can see an anticipated $800 in profit for this trade.  If the trends look good and we hold longer then we can potentially see even more profit!

COVERED CALLS
We have been doing covered calls on Vivus and McDonald’s.  We are continuing with these two stocks in our covered call adventure.
Symbol           Company       Stock     Option          Option            Initial              Annualized

VVUS             Vivus               22.90      Sept 25         .27                   2,676.00          12.1%
MCD               McDonalds     89.54      Sept 92.5      .16                   9,174.00          2.09%

VVUS closing price Friday came in at $22.63 and looks to be an the beginnings of an uptrend to reclaim some stock price.  It looks right now like we are in little danger of being called for this stock and will now look to prepping for the next month’s covered call.  We will firm this up in a couple of weeks when the current call expires, but right now it looks like the $25 or $26 level will be the place to do the October call.
MCD looks to be starting an up move in price again.  If it gets past the $92.5 price level and we get called away this will have been a VERY successful trade.  We will have had three months of call premium, plus we will get $70 in dividend for the past quarter since we held the stock past the Ex-Dividend day of August 30.  Plus we will make $76 if we are called away.  A nice little sum  Then we wait for a pullback in price and get into it again. 
Remember, unless we hit a 15% stop loss point we will continue to use these covered call stocks to generate income and not worry about the day to day or month to month price fluctuations.  We will concentrate on getting the most premium we can safely from these stocks.

DIVIDEND STOCKS
Here is our Dividend Stock Portfolio:

Ticker Name                                                  Buy         Current      Date                Div
                                                                        Price           Price                               Yield  
 KO     Coke                                                         38.17      37.90       08/27/2012         2.65%
AGD   Alpine Global Dynamic Fund                    5.76        5.88       08/27/2012        12.52%
AOD   Alpine Total Dynamic Fund                      4.37        4.49       08/27/2012        15.10%
MO      Altria                                                        34.26      34.27       08/27/2012          5.16%

Current Prices as of 09/07/2012 Closing Price

I also should put here MCD even though we have it in our Covered Call Portfolio.  McDonald’s fits the bill as it has a definite “moat” around its’ business and puts off a good dividend.
I have developed a watchlist for this Portfolio.  These are stocks that basically meet the criteria we have: (1) a moat business model, (2) dividend of at least 3%, (3) solid fundamental analysis numbers.  Here is our watchlist:
Ticker Name                          Recent Price       Date                        Div Yield        Target Price
PG       Proctor and Gamble         67.19          08/31/2012           3.35%         62.50
JNJ      Johnson & Johnson          67.43          08/31/201             3.62%         65.00  
INTC   Intel                                  24.83          08/31/2012           3.60%         22.00


INTC – There was some bad news on this stock last week.  They missed earnings and lowered guidance for the rest of the year.  So I am looking to get into this stock at around $22 or lower depending how far the current downtrend goes.  Despite lowering guidance they are still hands down the world leader in chip making.  They are the pre-eminent company in their sector and I do feel confident that they will make the transition to tablets as everybody is saying that is where the PC market is going.  Now I will just try to pick up this World Beater on sale.

JNJ – I am looking to get into this stock at $66.00 or lower.  The stock is on a slight uptrend again after a slight pull back.  There is a recent run from $62 to $68 and so I would like to split the difference and get in at $66


PG – I am looking to get into PG at $64 or lower.  PG is on a longer term uptrend starting in late June but is showing signs of coming back down as the price is getting ready to cross the 20 and 50 Day SMA.  I will be patient as the chart shows that $62 is long term support for this stock.  Also at this level that would raise our Dividend Yield to 3.75% AND give us lots of upside potential.

Probably mid-week I will have some of the questions you guys have put forward ready to answer.  Thank you for your patience.
DISCLAIMER:  Hashley Capital Management, LLC; as well as I are not giving any trading advice.  All data is historical in nature and is intended for use as an educational tool.  Trading in options is risky and can result in loss of capital. Stocks as well carry inherent risks and should be well researched before any buy decision is made.   There is no attempt to sell any brokerage services or act as a broker or dealer by Hashley Capital Management, LLC.  Any forward looking comments on this blog are not attempts to solicit business for Hashley Capital Management, LLC and are the opinion of Hashley Capital Management only.  If you choose to follow the same path and invest in the strategies and trades used by Hashley Capital Management, LLC after doing your own due diligence, that is your decision and yours alone. 

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TTFN
Ash